Monday, October 01, 2007 2:14 AM
Akshay Aggarwal
Fear and Loathing in Las Vegas: The Hackers Turn Pro
A great analysis by the Yankee group on the security posture of products from security vendors. A very interesting read.
Two key factors contribute to the growth of the underground vulnerability economy: historical and chronic weaknesses in the monopoly desktop operating system, Microsoft Windows; and the adolescent enthusiasm of vulnerability researchers continually trying to one-up each other.
Three years into its largely customer-imposed security push, Microsoft flaws continue to flow—but at a significantly decreased rate. Yankee Group analysis of a well-known public vulnerability data source, ICAT, suggests that flaw finders have shifted their focus toward security products.
From 2004 to May 2005 in particular, 77 disclosed vulnerabilities affected a wide array of security products. The incidents increased far faster than the rate for Microsoft (see Exhibit 1). When considering the number of affected products rather than just the number of distinct vulnerabilities, the rate of increase was as fast as that of the industry as a whole. Yankee Group believes this is because of three factors:
· Diminishing returns in operating systems: Security researchers focusing on Windows may have largely depleted the supply of the most easily exploited Microsoft flaws, especially in the wake of the watershed release of Windows XP, Service Pack 2.
· Low-hanging fruit in security products: Nearly all enterprises have deployed certain classes of security products, notably antivirus and (to a lesser extent) host intrusion prevention. Third-party and press scrutiny has not yet forced security companies to acknowledge and fix potential problems with their code, as it has with operating system vendors. Therefore, flaws targeting security software stand a better chance of being successful.
· Economic self-interest of testing specialists: Although not illegal, some security assessment vendors (notably eEye) specialize in finding vulnerabilities in other vendors’ security products. These vendors then turn around and sell their own security analysis products, which conveniently include detection signatures for the other vendors’ vulnerabilities. As shown in Exhibit 2, these firms discovered one-quarter (20 of 77) of the security product vulnerabilities reported in 2004 and 2005, about the same number discovered by independent researchers. In contrast, fratricidal discoveries by competing security vendors accounted for a minority (5 of 77). One firm—ISS—accounted for four of these.
This entry is a repost of an excerpt by request from an analysis document. Since I have been asked to forward provide this multiple times it may be best to point people to the blog entry instead. Also, who can resist a Hunter Thompson reference?