Once again, it's time for Raymond to come up with an absurd, arbitrary criterion for filling out his NCAA bracket.

This year, the criterion is the school's graduation rate for basketball players. Lower graduation rate wins. However, if the teams are seeded 11 or more positions apart, I'll give the win to the favorite (just to get rid of highly unlikely upsets).

Update:

  • Correct predictions are in green.
  • Incorrect predictions are in red.
  • (!) marks upsets correctly predicted.
  • (*) marks upsets predicted but did not take place.
  • (x) marks actual upsets not predicted.

Opening Round Game

Alabama State(56%) Alabama State
(56%)
Morehead State(57%)

Midwest bracket

1Louisville(42%) Louisville
(42%)
Louisville
(42%)
Louisville
(42%)
USC
(37%)
16Alabama State(56%)
8Ohio State(53%) Ohio State
(53%) (x)
9Siena(86%)
5Utah(67%) Arizona
(20%) (!)
Arizona
(20%)
12Arizona(20%)
4Wake Forest(100%) Cleveland State
(71%) (!)
13Cleveland State(71%)
6West Virginia(41%) West Virginia
(41%) (x)
West Virginia
(41%)
USC
(37%)
11Dayton(89%)
3Kansas(64%) Kansas
(64%)
14North Dakota State(N/A)
7Boston College(70%) USC
(37%) (!)
USC
(37%)
10USC(37%)
2Michigan State(60%) Michigan State
(60%)
15Robert Morris(100%)

West bracket

1Connecticut(33%) Connecticut
(33%)
Connecticut
(33%)
Connecticut
(33%)
Maryland
(10%)
16Chattanooga(34%)
8BYU(91%) Texas A&M
(47%) (!)
9Texas A&M(47%)
5Purdue(77%) Northern Iowa
(67%) (x)
Washington
(50%)
12Northern Iowa(67%)
4Washington(50%) Washington
(50%)
13Mississippi State(53%)
6Marquette(100%) Utah State*
(100%) (*)
Missouri
(36%)
Maryland
(10%)
11Utah State(100%)
3Missouri(36%) Missouri
(36%)
14Cornell(N/A)
7California(30%) Maryland
(10%) (!)
Maryland
(10%) (*)
10Maryland(10%)
2Memphis(55%) Memphis
(55%)
15Cal St. Northridge(8%)

East bracket

1Pittsburgh(69%) Pittsburgh
(69%)
Tennessee
(38%)
Portland State
(17%)
Portland State
(17%)
16East Tennessee State(60%)
8Oklahoma State(92%) Tennessee
(38%) (x)
9Tennessee(38%)
5Florida State(100%) Wisconsin
(86%) (!)
Portland State
(17%)
12Wisconsin(86%)
4Xavier(82%) Portland State
(17%) (*)
13Portland State(17%)
6UCLA(46%) UCLA
(46%)
UCLA
(46%) (*)
Texas
(31%)
11VCU(53%)
3Villanova(89%) Villanova
(89%)
14American(31%)
7Texas(31%) Texas
(31%)
Texas
(31%) (*)
10Minnesota(36%)
2Duke(89%) Duke
(89%)
15Binghamton(100%)

South bracket

1North Carolina(86%) North Carolina
(86%)
LSU
(40%) (*)
LSU
(40%)
Clemson
(29%)
16Radford(80%)
8LSU(40%) LSU
(40%)
9Butler(92%)
5Illinois(80%) Illinois
(80%) (x)
Akron
(63%)
12Western Kentucky(100%)
4Gonzaga(67%) Akron
(63%) (*)
13Akron(63%)
6Arizona State(38%) Arizona State
(38%)
Arizona State
(38%) (*)
Clemson
(29%)
11Temple(57%)
3Syracuse(50%) Syracuse
(50%)
14Stephen F. Austin(42%)
7Clemson(29%) Clemson
(29%) (x)
Clemson
(29%)
10Michigan(46%)
2Oklahoma(55%) Oklahoma
(55%)
15Morgan State(45%)

Finals

USC(37%) Maryland
(10%)
Maryland
(10%)
Maryland(10%)
Clemson(29%) Portland State
(17%)
Portland State(17%)

*The Marquette/Utah State game is a draw based on graduation rates, so it went to the tie-breaker: players arrested.

Update 9am: Fixed the prediction for the game between LSU and Akron. Thanks, Adam, for pointing this out.

My source for graduation data.

Update 10am: Fixed the prediction for the game between Louisville and Arizona. Thanks, Dave O, for pointing this out.

Update 1pm: Fixed the prediction of the game between UCLA and VCU (and the subsequent matchup against Villanova). Thanks, Crawford, for pointing this out.