As promised in my last blog, here’s a little more explanation of my take on the current state of the RFID software market. Doing my latest round of research I was reminded that despite the media focus and hype over the last 5 years on passive UHF technology and open loop applications that many now associate with RFID - its LF, HF, active tags and closed loop applications that have been around for more than 10 years that are sustaining the market. Even without the boom growth that was hoped for from Retail compliance mandates and now postponed California ePedigree laws, strong growth is still evident in the market with the overall hardware/software market growing at >10% CAGR, and the software market forecast at >20% CAGR (both according to ABI Research).
I’ve been a strong advocate of RFID for business process improvements, since my Analyst days at AMR Research, where I talked about ‘Instrumenting DDSN With RFID’ back in 2006, the role of Mobile and RFID in ‘Sensor-Driven Supply Networks’ in 2007, and of course the emergence of Microsoft as a major RFID ecosystem driver with the launch of ‘Microsoft BizTalk Server 2006 R2: RFID for Everyman’, in an article I co-authored with one of the true evangelists for RFID, and greatly missed, John Fontanella. It was great to get the opportunity to deliver Microsoft keynote at RFID Journal Live 2009 with Sudhir Hasbe to 2200 attendees who made it to Orlando Florida despite the current economic woes.
So here’s my take on the state and direction of RFID as we approach the middle of 2009: